Where is Ethiopia’s Tigray war headed?

Is Ethiopia’s Tigray region any closer to finding peace?

It’s been almost nine months since the war in Tigray began.

What started as a law enforcement operation by the federal government quickly escalated into a full-blown war with the rebels from the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF).

Both sides say they’ve had significant victories so far – and yet fighting does not seem likely to stop any time soon.

“The TPLF fighters say they could easily march to Addis Ababa, and the government is saying that the they are going to wipe out and crush the TPLF,” says the BBC’s Kalkidan Yibeltal in the capital.

“The rhetoric is ‘crushing one another’ and we’re not seeing any good signs.”

In fact, there are now fears the war may be spilling over to neighbouring regions.

“Now we’re seeing all these regional forces mobilising their troops,” says Yibeltal. “And the TPLF have already confirmed that they’ve laid attacks in the neighbouring regions of Afar and Amhara.”

So, how potentially dangerous is this situation? And what implications could it have for Ethiopia?

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